Would Syrian President Assad die in a freak plane crash? Or is he already in Russia? In this story between shadows (many) and lights (few), what is the real role of Türkiye, USA and Russia?

The news of these hours on the fate of the president of Syria must be taken in the conditional

The news in these hours is that the president of Syria, Bashar al-Assad, may have died in a strange plane crash. Or it could already be in Russia. Where does the news of Assad’s hypothetical death in a plane crash (or attack?) come from? from an explosion that occurred in the village of Al-Suwayri, west of Homs (photo below taken from a Telegram channel). Everything is in the conditional, because at this stage it is not easy to understand what is happening in Syria. On a Telegram channel we read that Assad left Damascus “on board a Russian IL-76T cargo plane, headed towards an unknown destination, most likely Russia”. Except that this plane with “presumably having Assad on board has disappeared from radar”. The “presumably” gives the measure of uncertainty. “The plane – we always read on the Telegram channel – dropped from over 12,000 feet altitude to 3,500 feet in a few minutes, just outside Lebanese airspace north of Akkar”. This is the latest news. After that the void. (Above, in the photo taken from a Telegram channel, the 3D map of the flight path of the IL-76T which presumably carried Bashar al-Assad).

If Syria has been occupied by rebel forces, why does the Prime Minister of Assad’s Syria go to dialogue with the protagonists of a coup d’état? But what is happening in Syria? Does he draw us to the threads of this story?

While waiting to understand what happened to Assad, it is known that the general command of the Syrian Arab army has ordered the surrender. Also on the Telegram channel we read strange news accompanied by a video: “Syrian Prime Minister Mohammad Ghazi al-Jalali leaves his house in Damascus and heads to a hotel to transfer power to the so-called Department of Military Operations, led by the jihadist group Hayat Tahrir al Sham. So: no civil resistance, no resistance from the Syrian Arab Army SAA, and the Prime Minister does not abandon Damascus. There is still a lot to understand and know to understand what really happened in Syria”. In fact, if Syria has been occupied by rebel forces, why does the Prime Minister of Assad’s Syria go to dialogue with the protagonists of a coup d’état? Is this really a coup d’état?

Donald Trump dissociates himself and attacks former President Obama

The Foreign Minister of the Russian Federation, Sergei Viktorovič Lavrov, said that it is unacceptable to allow terrorists to take over land in Syria. Russia is helping the Syrian army and is trying to do everything possible to counter terrorists.” The new American president, Donald Trump, has withdrawn from what is happening in Syria. And he did so with a statement to vitriol that brings up the former US president, Democrat Barack Obama: “Russia has never benefited from Syria, it just made Obama look stupid.” And again: “The United States should not interfere in the situation. Syria is a disaster, but it is not our friend, and the United States should do nothing. This is not our war, we must let this situation resolve itself. There is no point in interfering”, Is the new US president dissociating himself from the administration of Joe Biden, who is still in office and will remain so until January 20th to have free hands when he takes office in the White House?

In this story there are too many elements that escape political and geopolitical logic

It is impossible not to agree with the Telegram Channel where we read that “There is still a lot to understand and know to understand what really happened in Syria”. Also on Telegram we read a note from a few days ago: “Russia, together with Turkey and Iran, will take measures to ensure that the appeal to reduce tension in Syria is heard. It is unacceptable to use terrorists from the forbidden zone of Tahrir al-Sham for geopolitical purposes, as is happening now in Syria. Relations between Syria and Turkey are normalizing, there is no doubt about that.” But what if Turkey – reportedly – is behind what is ultimately a coup in Syria against Assad which means that “Relations between Syria and Turkey are normalising”? Now comes the news – we repeat, in the conditional – that the President of Syria Assad may have died in a strange plane crash, or he may be in Russia. The truth is that behind what is happening in Syria there are too many elements that escape political and geopolitical logic. A few twists cannot be ruled out